HUD-Owned Homes Expected to Increase

The following article appeared in REALTOR Magazine on April 30, 2013:

HUD-Owned Homes Expected to Surge

Daily Real Estate News | Tuesday, April 30, 2013

The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development is reportedly going to be releasing more of its homes to the market, which could be welcome news to buyers who have faced slim pickings in for-sale inventories.

Over the next two years, experts predict that HUD homes on the market will increase significantly as lenders work through the backlogs of foreclosures and foreclosure reviews.

“The inventory is there, [it’s] just not being released during the banks/servicers review of the loan/mortgage documents,” says Nat Genis, a HUD listing broker in Riverside County, Calif., which is already seeing an increase in HUD-owned homes.

“HUD homes are back,” Genis told HousingWire. “FHA financing went away with the ‘creative’ financing of the 80/20 loans, and now with the increase of FHA financing, these government-backed loans guarantee that if the borrower defaults, HUD will pay off the mortgage, obtain the deed, and re-sell the home.”

HUD-owned homes can be appealing because of the discounted sales price, even though they can be in poor condition often times, HousingWire reports.

HUD had 39,442 homes in its REO inventory nationwide as of Feb. 28, 2013—with 20,536 of those having pending contracts on them, according to HUD.

SOURCE: Housingwire (04/29/13)

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February 2013 Homes Prices Up 22.6% in One Year

Due to the low inventory of homes available, home buyers are willing to spend more on a home, that is if they can find one to buy.   The  Sacramento area’s resale home inventory is still very low.  This time last year there were 1,766 homes sold in February 2012 compared to 1,566 sold in February, 2013.  This is an 11.3% drop in sold homes.   This has caused the rapid increase in home prices.  Sacramento’s median price for February 2013 is $192,500, Placer County $298,500, El Dorado County $283,250 and Yolo County $250,000.  New home sales are also on the increase with 104 closings in Sacramento, 86 in Placer and 14 in Yolo County in the month of February.

 

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Is Cash still King??

We are in the middle of a crazy real estate market the Greater Sacramento area.  First time home buyers are being outbid by Cash Investors and Cash Buyers.    It is not uncommon to write over 10 offers for a first time home buyer in this market and sometimes still not get a home.  FHA home buyers are constantly being out bid due to the fact that they don’t have the necessary funds to pay more than the appraised value of the home and conventional buyers and cash buyers are purchasing the homes.

With this recent lack of inventory, the cash buyers are now being outbid by other cash buyers and we have seen homes selling for $20,000 over the list price.   Everyone is scrambling to find the deals only to find out that ship may have already sailed.

With spring a few month’s away and home prices on the increase, we should see more inventory coming on the market and some sellers with enough equity to move up in the market (an area we haven’t seen for many years).

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Sacramento Homes Prices on the Rise

Sacramento is suffering from lack of inventory for sale.  Due to the lack of available homes, the home prices in December, 2012 are on the rise.

Figures released by DataQuick show that the median home prices in Sacramento County rose 18% in December compared to December, 2011 from $155,000 to $183,000.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Sacramento home prices climb in November

Sacramento‘s median home prices on the rise again!

The median home price in Sacramento County rose nearly 17 percent in November from the same month a year before, DataQuick reported this morning.

It was the largest year-over-year price gain in November since the housing market was booming in November 2004, according to the San Diego-based information service.

The county’s median home price of $185,000 last month was up from $158,500 the prior November. It was also up over October’s median of $180,000, DataQuick said.

However, sales volume was slightly down in November from October.

Strong investor activity coupled with a shortage of homes for sale has boosted home prices in the past half year.

In the last few month, more move-up buyers have been entering the market, seeking to take advantage of rock-bottom prices and interest rates near historic lows.

Read more here: http://www.sacbee.com/2012/12/13/5052791/sacramento-home-prices-climb-in.html#storylink=cpy
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Sacramento Housing Market Home Prices on the Rise

The numbers are in and Sacramento’s Housing Market continues to heat up!  In November the average Price per Square Foot hit a new high of $135.8, this was a 2.2% increase over last month and a 16% increase over the last year.  This increase can clearly be traced to the lower inventory numbers that continue to drive prices up.  The number of homes for sale decreased by-10% from last month and is down by over -52% from last year.  Another effect of this lower inventory is that houses are selling faster than we have seen in a long time, the average Days on Market for a home in the Sacramento Region dropped again to only 48 days!

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Changes in the Market

If you haven’t seen this article that was written by Lawrence Yun who is chief economist of the National Association of Realtors, please read:

Seeds of a Housing Shortage

Sliding inventories and price increases could lead to overheated markets
October 2012 | By Lawrence Yun

The market is looking much improved today, with home sales and prices heading up. But within this improvement are the seeds of a long-term challenge: falling inventories.

The inventory of existing homes is at its lowest level in seven years, while newly constructed home inventory has hit a 50-year low mark. Falling inventory is causing home prices to shoot up higher and faster than most analysts anticipated. The national median price of transacted homes was up 9.5 percent in August. Other price measures, like Case-Shiller and the Federal Housing Finance Agency price index, which look at price changes in sales of the same properties over time, have been rising as well, at double-digit annualized rates in recent months. Of course, not all markets are this robust. Phoenix is looking to notch a 25 percent gain for the year, while Chicago is just emerging from negative territory.

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As winter approaches, inventory will slide further. Few homes are newly listed after Thanksgiving. Historically, inventory tends to be 15 percent lower in winter than summer. Last year’s seasonal decline was even more dramatic, at 25 percent. We hope we won’t see an inventory decline of that magnitude this winter. Home values rising much faster than income growth will markedly cut into housing affordability.

But that may well be what’s in store. Distressed home listings will continue to fall because fewer borrowers are now seriously delinquent. Home construction is up, but only reaching half of the historic average of housing starts. Even the many pent-up sellers—those normal, non distressed home owners who’ve been holding back for better market conditions—will not help the net inventory situation, because most of them will be selling to buy a trade-up property.

Slight seasonal relief should come in March, just as the spring buying season gets underway. But a deeper and longer-term issue to watch out for is the increasing possibility of a housing shortage across many parts of the country.

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C.A.R. releases its California Housing Market Forecast for 2012

Tuesday, Sept. 20, 2011 Released by California Association of Realtors

View a video of C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young discussing the 2012 Housing Market Forecast.

SAN JOSE (Sept. 20) – California home sales and median price are predicted to improve only slightly in 2012, as the continuation of the tepid economic recovery, uncertainty about the future, and funding challenges for residential mortgages are expected to keep the market moving sideways, with little foreseeable momentum in either direction, according to the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®’ (C.A.R.) “2012 California Housing Market Forecast” released today. 

The forecast for California home sales next year is for a slight 1 percent increase to 496,200 units, following essentially flat sales of 491,100 homes this year compared to the 491,500 homes sold in 2010.

“Despite the run of unforeseen global events in the first half of this year that slowed the overall economy, 2011 home sales are projected to essentially remain unchanged from last year,” said C.A.R. President Beth L. Peerce.  “Looking ahead, the fundamentals of the housing market – such as low mortgage rates, high housing affordability, and favorable home prices – are expected to continue, but at this point, a strong housing recovery will depend on consumer confidence, job creation, and the availability and cost of home loans.

“Discretionary sellers will play a larger role in next year’s housing market,” said Peerce.  “Those who held off selling in 2011 may list their homes in 2012, thereby improving the mix of homes for sale compared with the last few years.  Additionally, distressed sales will remain an important segment of the overall market as lenders continue to work through the foreclosure process.”

The California median home price will increase 1.7 percent in 2012 to $296,000 in 2012, according to the forecast.  Following a double-digit increase in the median price in 2010, the median home price will decrease a projected 4 percent in 2011 to $291,000.

“2012 will be another transition year for the California housing market, as the continued uncertainty about the U.S. financial system, job growth, and the stability of the overall economy remain in the forefront for all market participants,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young.  “An improvement in job growth, consumer spending, and corresponding gains in housing are essential to a broader recovery in the economy, but would-be buyers will remain cautious as they weigh these myriad uncertainties against the clear opportunities presented by today’s very affordable housing market.

“The most likely scenario is for the modest recovery to continue, and this should push sales up slightly next year by 1 percent and maintain levels that are significantly higher than those recorded during the depths of the housing downturn.

“The wild cards for 2012 are many, including federal, fiscal, monetary, and housing policies; the contentious political climate during an election year; and the strength of the U.S. economic recovery,” said Appleton-Young.

Appleton-Young will present an expanded forecast Wednesday afternoon during CALIFORNIA REALTOR® EXPO 2011 (http://expo.car.org/), running from Sept. 20-22 at the San Jose McEnery Convention Center in San Jose, Calif.  The trade show attracts nearly 6,500 attendees and is the largest state real estate trade show in the nation. 

Don’t miss “Why Lenders Can’t Lend:  The Economic Perspective” during CALIFORNIA REALTOR® EXPO 2011.  C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young will moderate a panel of renowned economists as they delve into the front- and-center issue facing the market and REALTORS® next year.  The panel is scheduled to be held Thursday, Sept. 22, from 2 p.m. – 3:30 p.m. at the San Jose Convention Center.
2012 FORECAST FACT SHEET

  2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011f 2012f
Existing Single-family Home Resales (000s) 625 477.5 346.9 441.8 546.9 491.5 491.1 496.2
 
% Change 0.03% -23.60% -27.30% 27.30% 23.80% -10.10% -0.10% 1
Median Price ($000s) $522.70 $556.40 $560.30 $348.50 $275.00 $303.10 $291.00 $296.00
% Change 16.00% 6.50% 0.70% -37.80% -21.10% 10.20% -4.00% 1.7
30-Yr FRM 5.90% 6.40% 6.30% 6.00% 5.10% 4.70% 4.50% 4.7
 1-Yr ARM 4.50% 5.50% 5.60% 5.20% 4.70% 3.50% 3.00% 3.1

f=forecast

Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States, with more than 160,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

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Cashing in on rental property

One bright spot in the dismal real estate market is the rental market.  Demand is up and rents are rising.  That’s partly because those foreclosures have turned more than 4 million former homeowners into rents, but also because many other prospective homeowners, worried about losing their jobs or housing prices falling a lot further still, are reluctant to buy now. 

As with many investments, the best time to get in is when most others are sitting on the sidelines. 

Mortgage rates are at a 40 year low, and homes in many areas are ultra-cheap.  Meanwhile, demand for rentals has risen in more than 500 cities.  With this increase, it has allowed landlords to charge more.  Hotpads.com, a real estate research firm, reports that rents nationwide jumped 11.6% in 2010 to $1,320 a month. 

You’ll need that rental income to tide you over until home prices bounce back; in fact, the typical investor today plans to hold for 10 years, according to a survey by the National Association of Realtors.  If you can hang on that long, you have got a good shot at solid gains, especially if you are financing the home. 

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When will home prices begin to increase?

Nationwide, the US housing market remains deep in the doldrums and economists expect prices to fall another 5% to 10% in many places. 

When the rebound arrives, desirable zip codes will see price jumps first.  Real estate is always local.  

Here are a few things to start watching in your neighborhood: 

How fast are homes selling?  It is a good sign when price drops slowly down, inventory levels are actually a better gauge of where your market is headed.  Ask a Realtor to tell you the number of listings now on the market in your area and the number of homes sold over the past year.  An example would be that there are 100 listings and there were 240 sales last year, or an average of 20 per month.  That equals a five-month supply, which is considered stable.  More than six months and it’s a buyer’s market; less than three and sellers probably have the upper hand.

Compare your neighborhood’s price-to-rent ratio with what it was before the housing boom.  Calculate the price-to-rent ratio, or the price of a home divided by one year’s rent on a comparable one.  In general, it’s cheaper to buy when the price-to-rent ratio is below 15. 

A decrease in foreclosure filing is often an encouraging sign but not always the case depending on the processing delays in foreclosures.   Distressed owners tend to fall behind on lawn cutting and house painting long before a foreclosure.  If you see several places in disrepair, don’t expect your home value to rise soon. 

If you area is a prime location.  As buyers return, they naturally grab places with short commutes and better schools and amenities which will help increase the sales price.

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