Nationwide, the US housing market remains deep in the doldrums and economists expect prices to fall another 5% to 10% in many places.
When the rebound arrives, desirable zip codes will see price jumps first. Real estate is always local.
Here are a few things to start watching in your neighborhood:
How fast are homes selling? It is a good sign when price drops slowly down, inventory levels are actually a better gauge of where your market is headed. Ask a Realtor to tell you the number of listings now on the market in your area and the number of homes sold over the past year. An example would be that there are 100 listings and there were 240 sales last year, or an average of 20 per month. That equals a five-month supply, which is considered stable. More than six months and it’s a buyer’s market; less than three and sellers probably have the upper hand.
Compare your neighborhood’s price-to-rent ratio with what it was before the housing boom. Calculate the price-to-rent ratio, or the price of a home divided by one year’s rent on a comparable one. In general, it’s cheaper to buy when the price-to-rent ratio is below 15.
A decrease in foreclosure filing is often an encouraging sign but not always the case depending on the processing delays in foreclosures. Distressed owners tend to fall behind on lawn cutting and house painting long before a foreclosure. If you see several places in disrepair, don’t expect your home value to rise soon.
If you area is a prime location. As buyers return, they naturally grab places with short commutes and better schools and amenities which will help increase the sales price.
One in 240 California housing units was in foreclosure in April 2011, according to Realty Trac, a statistic that places California foreclosures about 2.5 times higher than the national average. Those statistics alone make the state a ripe market for loan modification scammers.
The Lawyer’s Committee is starting to file complaints against Nathanson Law Center and other alleged loan mod scammers. The suit claims that the defendants lured desperate homeowners into paying up-front fees to secure them loan mods, and then did little or no work to follow up on their promised services. While homeowners were offered 100% guarantees that their funds would be returned if a modification could not be obtained, the defendants later refused to turn their fees. Many of the victims lost thousands of dollars – or worse, their homes.
If you believe you have been the victim of a loan mod scam, you are encouraged to call (888) 995-HOPE or visit www.preventloanscams.org and click “Report a Scam!” Victims are being represented free of charge
The following tips were given by Stephfan Nurse, CEO of Consumer Education, makers of mortgage reduction software designed to help people thru the modification process:
1) When faxing or sending in your paperwork to your lender, make sure that your loan number is printed on every page you are sending in. Lenders received thousands of papers a day and sometimes the cover sheet gets lost or the fax gets misplaced. If you have the loan number on every page, they can make sure it gets in your file.
2) Make sure that ALL of the requested paperwork is included in the file. If you are missing just one required document, they will show your account is incomplete and your file sometimes goes to the bottom of the pile.
3) Follow up every week with your lender to make sure all of the documents they have are up to date. Don’t worry about being a pest; this usually keeps your file moving along.
These tips are the same tips we use when submitting Short Sales. The complete packages move along much quicker then the packages submitted with missing documents. Some lenders even tell us to keep sending in pay stubs and bank statements so the file is kept current at all times.
One bright spot in the dismal real estate market is the rental market. Demand is up and rents are rising. That’s partly because those foreclosures have turned more than 4 million former homeowners into rents, but also because many other prospective homeowners, worried about losing their jobs or housing prices falling a lot further still, are reluctant to buy now.
As with many investments, the best time to get in is when most others are sitting on the sidelines.
Mortgage rates are at a 40 year low, and homes in many areas are ultra-cheap. Meanwhile, demand for rentals has risen in more than 500 cities. With this increase, it has allowed landlords to charge more. Hotpads.com, a real estate research firm, reports that rents nationwide jumped 11.6% in 2010 to $1,320 a month.
You’ll need that rental income to tide you over until home prices bounce back; in fact, the typical investor today plans to hold for 10 years, according to a survey by the National Association of Realtors. If you can hang on that long, you have got a good shot at solid gains, especially if you are financing the home.
Nationwide, the US housing market remains deep in the doldrums and economists expect prices to fall another 5% to 10% in many places.
When the rebound arrives, desirable zip codes will see price jumps first. Real estate is always local.
Here are a few things to start watching in your neighborhood:
How fast are homes selling? It is a good sign when price drops slowly down, inventory levels are actually a better gauge of where your market is headed. Ask a Realtor to tell you the number of listings now on the market in your area and the number of homes sold over the past year. An example would be that there are 100 listings and there were 240 sales last year, or an average of 20 per month. That equals a five-month supply, which is considered stable. More than six months and it’s a buyer’s market; less than three and sellers probably have the upper hand.
Compare your neighborhood’s price-to-rent ratio with what it was before the housing boom. Calculate the price-to-rent ratio, or the price of a home divided by one year’s rent on a comparable one. In general, it’s cheaper to buy when the price-to-rent ratio is below 15.
A decrease in foreclosure filing is often an encouraging sign but not always the case depending on the processing delays in foreclosures. Distressed owners tend to fall behind on lawn cutting and house painting long before a foreclosure. If you see several places in disrepair, don’t expect your home value to rise soon.
If you area is a prime location. As buyers return, they naturally grab places with short commutes and better schools and amenities which will help increase the sales price.
Foreclosure filings rose in August, as more homeowners fell behind on their mortgage payments.
Filing were up 7% compared to July, but were still 33% lower than a year ago.
According to Realty Tract’s report, 228,098 homes in the US received some kind of foreclosure filing in August. Foreclosure auctions and bank repossessions, which come later in the process, both fell slightly.
The increased in default notices may signal that lenders are starting to finally push through foreclosure paperwork that was previously delayed by “robo-signing”.
The good news is that bank repossessions have been falling. Lenders repossessed 64,813 homes in August, a six-month low and a 37% decline after they hit a peak in September last year.
Meanwhile, foreclosure auctions were scheduled for 84,405 homes, the lowest number in more than three years.
Nevada, California and Arizona housing markets are the hardest hit by foreclosures.
Information from CNNMoney.com
One in 240 California housing units was in foreclosure in April 2011, according to Realty Trac, a statistic that places California foreclosures about 2.5 times higher than the national average. Those statistics alone make the state a ripe market for loan modification scammers.
The Lawyer’s Committee is starting to file complaints against Nathanson Law Center and other alleged loan mod scammers. The suit claims that the defendants lured desperate homeowners into paying up-front fees to secure them loan mods, and then did little or no work to follow up on their promised services. While homeowners were offered 100% guarantees that their funds would be returned if a modification could not be obtained, the defendants later refused to turn their fees. Many of the victims lost thousands of dollars – or worse, their homes.
If you believe you have been the victim of a loan mod scam, you are encouraged to call (888) 995-HOPE or visit www.preventloanscams.org and click “Report a Scam!” Victims are being represented free of charge.
- Foreclosure Rescue Scams (arizonaconsumerlaw.wordpress.com)
Investing in real estate right now can be surprisingly profitable as rents are on the increase in many areas due to the number of people losing their homes to foreclosures or doing a Short Sale of their homes.
Remember that owning rental property is time consuming, expensive, challenging, and many investors lose money.
Mistake 1: Confusing a cheap deal for a good deal – You can buy homes at a low price but that doesn’t mean you can rent them out. They usually aren’t any more appealing to rents than they are to buyers. Also less-desirable school districts may hamper renting your property.
Mistake 2: Overlooking key costs – Knowing potential rent is not enough. You should also factor in closing costs 3-6%, costs to fix up the place and maintain it, and your holding costs.
Mistake 3: Forgetting that time is money – You lose money when your home is empty, whether you are trying to rent it, in between tenants or painting. You may be better off accepting a lower rent than waiting for a higher-paying tenant.
Mistake 4: Assuming you will sit back and watch the rent roll in – You are a rent collector and sometimes tenants lose their jobs and stop paying rent. Evicting them can take several weeks without rental income coming in.
Mistake 5: Underestimating repair costs – Carpet in rentals typically must be replaced every five years and you may have to repaint after every tenant. The National Association of Residential Property Managers suggests setting aside six months of expenses so that you will have funds if a major repair is needed.
Mistake 6: Assuming that owning a rental is the same as owning a home – You might put up with flaws in a home that a renter won’t tolerate. A property manager can handle most headaches, but you should expect to pay up to a month of rent for finding and screening tenants and up to 10% of the monthly rent for management fees.
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The Sacramento Beepublished an article September 26, 2011 with the following statistics compiled by RealtyTrac and Foreclosure-Response.org. They placed our region’s shadow inventory at 53,256 homes in the four surrounding areas of Sacramento, Yolo, Placerand El Dorado counties.
They included in this number three categories of distressed properties:
- 12,285 houses already owned by banks but not sold
- 19,367 units whose owners have received an initial foreclosure notice, or notice of default, but have not been foreclosed on
- 21,604 homeowners who are 90 days or more delinquent on their payments but have not received a notice of default
Lenderare starting to pick up the pace on repossessions once again. The figures provided by RealtyTrac show foreclosures in the area soared 76% from July to August, the highest number in 11 months.
Based on this “shadow inventory” it would take a year and a half to sell these distressed homes.
To read the complete article by Rick Daysog of the Sacramento Bee click here
Effective January 1, 2011, California first trust deed mortgage holders who consent to a short sale of residential property (up to 4 units) are prohibited from seeking a deficiency judgment for the difference between the mortgage balance and proceeds realized through the sale.
Senate Bill931 was passed by legistature in August and approved by the Governor on 9/30/10 to help strapped homeowners.
See the complete article at Realty Times
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